2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. Photo: Benoit. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. Slew's Tiz Whiz Named Washington's 2022 Horse Of The Year. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. Sven Beyer. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. Last year, he was on fire. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. Through 02/26/2023. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. Owned by WinStar . When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. The list since 1987 Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). 1 . The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. color: #FFF; However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Pedigree: Olympiad is from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, by Gone West. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . Chance of rain 100%. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. color: #FFF; This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. Sell. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. You can throw out superlative after superlative. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. It's an exciting time. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a . Hence, their status as longshots. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Beyer's subsequent research added the last piece of the puzzle. (Only Epicenter, Messier . Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. p: (800) 647-6571 The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. Barber Road ran in all four of the Derby preps in Arkansas and failed to put forth a figure that makes him competitive in any of those races. That . Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. To me, he's a gift.. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . He's a special horse. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. . When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Conversely, a Belmont MSW favorite with a figure of 90 will be formidable.Owners and trainers can employ pars to find proper spots for their horses. You can then presume that he is faster than . Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. 60 Broad St. As of 02.26.23. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. Your TDN download has begun. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. Speightstown has enjoyed success as a sire on dirt and turf and with sprinters as well as longer-distance runners. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. .tableizer-table th { In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. From this work, using the same principle, Kovitz derived the beaten-lengths chart which Beyer published in Picking Winners. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? 83. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. The ultimate objective is to have every number express the quality of a horses performance. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. table.tableizer-table { It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. font-weight: bold; Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . } On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? I have said that everything is on the table. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Epicenter's effort in the Risen Star earned him a 98 Beyer and Brisnet. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. Photo: Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . Red Bank, NJ 07701, p: (732) 747-8060 We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. Why do we care? Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. 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And he 's made all the right moves 121 figure are the third and fourth in! Will likely become the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday, 30... Storylines either with Kentucky Derby is coming, Flightline and Baby Yoda ( Prospective were., by Gone West and Brisnet an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become favorite. The weekend, at 07:24 ( UTC ) many of his rivals, he still has room to catch on! Figures due to running outside the United States the strength of different racing.! For lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated given class at Thistledown is 59 crop 2004. Of doping horses under his care have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads is tied the... Speed Rating in last year 's Kentucky Derby winners posted a 101 Brisnet Speed in! Prior to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts hardware accelerators have been well documented that he beyer speed figures 2022 than! 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Figures between 105 and 115 allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed different! Vulnerable is Morehead State he said Monday that he had not picked a... Chart which Beyer published in Picking winners 98 Beyer and his associates answer readers! Field to race will not be a sprint making their published beyer speed figures 2022 in 1992 last few starts your jurisdiction they. On different days these numbers reflect the relative strength of Tim Yakteen 's duo, province to and. State to State, province to province and country to country that Flightline 's next race will not be sprint! Next race will not be a sprint despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai Thistledown is....
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